All articles for the topic: uncertainty

flooding UK

Are European decision-makers preparing for high-end climate change?

Are European decision-makers preparing for high-end climate change?​ This paper, delivered by the IMPRESSIONS project, investigates.

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understanding and interpreting global climate model results

How to understand and interpret global climate model results

Guide targeted at decision-makers to enable them to interpret the various plots, graphs and maps that are used to present global climate model projections.

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Looking north along Kingston Beach

Long-term coastal adaptation in Australia

This article presents key findings from two recent studies that guide local governments towards flexible and robust coastal adaptation planning that addresses both social and physical impacts.

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Future Climate for Africa

FCFA - Uncertainty reduction in models for understanding development applications

The UMFULA project (meaning ‘river’ in Zulu) aims to support decision-making through providing new and more reliable information about climate processes and extremes in Central and Southern Africa.

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The Uncertainty Handbook

The Uncertainty Handbook provides guidance on 12 practical and easy-to apply principles for smarter communication about climate change uncertainties.

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Synthesis report: FCFA pilot phase

This report provides initial research into the use of long-term (5-40 year) climate information in Malawi, Rwanda, Zambia and the coastal cities of Accra, Ghana and Maputo, Mozambique.

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IMPRESSIONS

IMPRESSIONS aims to understand the consequences of high-end climate change and to evaluate how such knowledge can be used in effective and integrated adaptation and mitigation decision-making.

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Climate information for adaptation, risk reduction and resilience in Africa

This document explains why and how climate information is a valuable resource for rural communities and those working with them in confronting climate variability and change.

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Climate variability and vulnerability research

Climate research has so far been focusing most of its attention on the impacts from higher mean temperatures worldwide. According to a new research review this has limited our understanding on how...

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Exploring the role of climate science in supporting long-term adaptation and decision-making in sub-Saharan Africa

Summary

Africa faces considerable challenges in adapting to the long-term impacts of climate change. Policy-makers not only have to contend with projected changes to the region’s climate,...

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New approaches to promoting flexible and forward looking decision making

Drawing on insights from complexity science, this paper describes what processes are needed to promote Flexible and Forward-looking Decision Making (FFDM).

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Deep uncertainty over long-term climate in infrastructure projects

Abstract

Climate change brings new challenges for traditional environmental risk management, particularly for major infrastructure projects, where the decisions made today can have long-...

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Adaptation planning approaches

Adapt or perish: A review of planning approaches for adaptation under deep uncertainty

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528a3b013f224real-options-analysis - climate adaptation.

MEDIATION Real Options Analysis

Key Messages

There is increasing interest in the appraisal of options, as adaptation moves from theory to practice. In response, a number of existing and new decision support tools are...

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MEDIATION Robust Decision Making

This Policy Brief (Note 3) provides a summary of robust decision making, including a synthesis of the approach, its strengths and weaknesses, how it considers uncertainty, and case study examples.

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MEDIATION Portfolio Analysis

Key Messages

There is increasing interest in the appraisal of options, as adaptation moves from theory to practice. In response, a number of existing and new decision support tools are...

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CIP Climate Graph Development

This month marks the launch of the new Climate Information Platform (CIP). In many ways the new platform has been a clean sheet redesign of many aspects of the old portal.  One of the key...

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CDKN Climate and Development Research Review

A report prepared by TERI, and supported by the Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN), highlights key trends in a body of research on the links between climate change and development.

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Review of perceived policy needs

Abstract

Adaptation to climate change is a new challenge for existing institutions and decision-making processes. In order to assess what form this challenge takes for decision-makers, we...

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50d77c787281fplanning-for-resilient-water-systems 1 - climate adaptation.

Adaptive planning for resilient urban water systems under an uncertain future

There is now widespread recognition across Australian water businesses that a generational shift is required away from conventional deterministic planning towards more flexible and adaptive...

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Training

Short course training: Robust decision making and uncertainty Module: Adaptation planning
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Adaptation Decision Making METHODS

This article aims to provide guidance on the best methods for decision screening, exploring many different decision making methods.

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National Adaptation Planning

Designing robust, flexible adaptation strategies for national adaptation plans.

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Mediation (Main Project Page)

This article provides an overview of the MEDIATION project and links to its outputs.

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