Deep uncertainty over long-term climate in infrastructure projects
Climate change brings new challenges for traditional environmental risk management, particularly for major infrastructure projects, where the decisions made today can have long-...
Adaptation planning approaches
Adapt or perish: A review of planning approaches for adaptation under deep uncertainty
MEDIATION Real Options Analysis
There is increasing interest in the appraisal of options, as adaptation moves from theory to practice. In response, a number of existing and new decision support tools are...
MEDIATION Robust Decision Making
This Policy Brief (Note 3) provides a summary of robust decision making, including a synthesis of the approach, its strengths and weaknesses, how it considers uncertainty, and case study examples.
West Cork Islands
The West Cork Islands Integrated Development Strategy was developed by RPS Planning and Environment, working closely with the West Cork Islands Interagency Group (which comprises groups...
First results of our urban adaptation survey
Photo by Phyllis Grifman
It's been two months since we sent out the link to the weADAPT urban adaptation survey and we have obtained 16 responses so far... must be...
AHP
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a type of multi-criteria assessment (MCA) technique for analyzing complex decisions. It was developed in the early 1980s to help decision-makers...
ADM Tools Guide
This user guide will give you an introduction to the subject of adaptation decision-making tools. It is intended for the newcomer to this area. At the bottom of the page we...
Training
Robust Decision-Making
Under deep uncertainty, decision-makers need to select robust rather than best options. However, when the future is characterised by uncertainty, a focus on best options may carry significant risks.
Bottom-up tools
Using a series of criteria of analysis, this review aims at assessing the conditions of applicability of tools that support adaptation decision-making using a bottom-up approach.
Adaptation tools review
Several tools have been developed to support climate adaptation decision-making over the past decade. This pages offers a review of them.
Module: Adaptation planning
This module aims at building understanding on robust decision making to deal with uncertainty. It also includes approaches and different methods that could be used for adaptation screening. It has...
Decision uncertainty
Uncertainty is considered here from the point of view of a decision maker, who must make a decision based on the knowledge s/he has about a situation.
We can consider three general...
Decision Analysis (Decision-Screening)
Climate adaptation is about making decisions. It is not our role to tell people what the outcome of climate change will be in 20 years as it is not knowable - there is too much...
Content of the communication: risk
We now need to give some thought to the content of the messages about climate risks that we wish to communicate. This is where we face the challenge of conveying meaning between people with...
Bayesian network
A Bn, is a type of decision support system based on probability theory which implements Bayes rule of probability. This rule shows mathematically how...
Short course training: Robust decision making and uncertainty
A short course training module on robust decision making and uncertainty.
Methodology of Bhutan NCAP Project
An overview of the methodology used in the preparation of hazard maps is shown in the above figure. The whole process of the preparation of the hazard maps was...
