All articles for the topic: Decision theory

A photo of a young girl carrying a large basket of wood behind her back.

Identifying Salient Drivers of Livelihood Decision-Making in the Forest Communities of Cameroon

Using research from southeast Cameroon, this paper describes a participatory and collaborative process for formalising qualitative data  and explains how these results can provide input to a social simulation model. Insights to provide in better understanding decision-making in the region are also explained. 

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Understanding the decision making context

This presentation summarizes the survey and interview responses on decision-making and decision-support tools (DSTs) for health and environmental change in the context of the Healthy Futures project

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Mediation training module: AHP

This description of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and its potential application has been developed as part of a set of modules in the EC Mediation project

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environmental degradation in Greater Banjul

ADx Greater Banjul Area

Worked example of tool pilot study in Greater Banjul area in The Gambia. Greater Banjul faces several climate-related hazards including sea-level rise and high temperature stress which may exacerbate environmental problems

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Conducting AHP with participants at CIFOR, Bogor.

AHP

Analytic Hierarchy Process: an introduction. including a list of example applications and links to useful resources

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mDSS

mDSS is a decision support system for natural resources management based on the DSPIR framework

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MCA

MCA is a well-known method (or more accurately, family of methods) for evaluation of alternatives according to multiple decision criteria.

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Tools

ADM Tools Guide

An introduction to the adaptation decision-making tools

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Adaptation Decision Making METHODS

This article aims to provide guidance on the best methods for decision screening, exploring many different decision making methods.

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van asselt - climate adaptation.

Involving Stakeholders

Stakeholder participation can be used to democratise science and empower citizens, to inform policy making and to advise decision-making processes.

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ADx Objectives

The potential users of the ADx will be analysts or engineers working for decision makers such as donor agencies or policy makers. The decision analysis cycle between a decision maker and decision...

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CIRCE Foundation Paper Process

CIRCE Foundation Paper - part 3: Adaptation as a Socio-Instiutional Learning Process

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ADx User Guide

The Adaptation Options Explorer is a meta-tool and process in which adaptation options can be compared within and across different analytical methods.

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where to?

Robust Decision-Making

Under deep uncertainty, decision-makers need to select robust rather than best options. However, when the future is characterised by uncertainty, a focus on best options may carry significant risks.

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NAIADE steps

SMCE-NAIADE

NAIADE is a multi-criteria analysis tool to help choose between different options

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Bottom-up tools

Using a series of criteria of analysis, this review aims at assessing the conditions of applicability of tools that support adaptation decision-making using a bottom-up approach.

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Adaptation tools review

Several tools have been developed to support climate adaptation decision-making over the past decade. This pages offers a review of them.

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52dfc30a748ddadaptation-decision-making 1 - climate adaptation.

Adaptation Decision Making

Sharing methods, tools and approaches for adaptation decision-making.

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C3D+ Module: Adaptation planning

This module aims to build understanding on robust decision making to deal with uncertainty plus methods that could be used for adaptation screening.

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XLRM Conceptual Diagram (Lempert et. al., 2003)

XLRM framework

RAND corporation has been developing a tool to carry out robust decision making as an example of computational multi-scenario simulation.

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Methodology of Bhutan NCAP Project

Overview of the methodology

An overview of the methodology used in the preparation of hazard maps is shown in the above figure. The whole process of the preparation of the hazard maps was...

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Elimination by aspects

While pilot knowledge elicitation tools (KnETs) attempt to classify important knowledge attributes of the domain, there may exist several (conscious and unconscious) phases of decision-making...

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uncertainty taxonomy

Decision uncertainty

Uncertainty, from the point of view of a decision maker, could belong to one of three categories.

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EWS

Exploring decision-making options

Discusses different approaches for exploring decision making options

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