Developing climate messages for Zimbabwe using multiple sources of evidence
|
Climate feature |
Key messages |
Source |
|
Past climate variability |
High variability, frequent drought years and flood events |
Historical rainfall records (CRU data) |
|
Past climate trends |
Increasing temperatures (~0.1°C/decade) |
Historical temperature and rainfall records (CRU data) |
|
Future climate trends |
Increasing temperatures of around 2.5°C by the 2050s Possible decrease in rainfall particularly during the onset stage of the rainy season (Sep- Nov) |
CMIP3 GCM multi-model projections (for SRES A2 emissions scenario) and CSAG downscaled projections available in CIP |
For more details on the future climate trends for temperature and precipitation, based on projections from 10 Global Climate Models as well as downscaled projections for 2 stations, read the full article that accompanies this placemark: Zimbabwe Climate Analysis
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