Theme:

Adaptation Without Borders - Indirect Impacts of Climate Change

The impacts of climate change are not confined by national borders. In our globalised and interdependent world, the effects of climate change in one place can be experienced in another – cascading through trade and supply chains, financial flows, movements of people and shared natural resources. In a similar way, the actions we take to adapt to climate change can also have effects far beyond the jurisdictions of the actors implementing them.

This calls for a much more cooperative and multilateral approach to adaptation – one which builds resilience across scales. No country is immune to the effects of transboundary climate risk, and no government can address these effects alone.

This theme aims to gather evidence and analysis of transboundary climate risk and to support a social network of practice for those working in this field. It features articles, reports, blogs, events and videos on a variety of topics, including cross-border climate risk assessments, adaptation governance, and the implications of transboundary climate risks on (for example) trade, production and food security.

Publications come primarily from Adaptation without Borders, a new global partnership hosted by the Overseas Development Institute (ODI), Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) and the Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), which aims to harness international cooperation to effectively govern and manage cross-border and cascading climate risks.

To stay updated on the latest news, research and events about transboundary climate risks and adaptation, visit Adaptation Without Borders, a weADAPT microsite. You can also sign up to the Adaptation Without Borders newsletter here to keep in touch.
 

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  • Use the category buttons below to explore knowledge shared by peers working on transboundary climate risks.
  • Scroll down to 'Members' to see who else is working on transboundary climate risks.
  • To stay up-to-date with the latest articles and case studies added, and discussions happening in this space, click "Join" below.
  • To share your projects, reports from the field and other insights click on 'Share' in the menu bar above.
  • To explore ongoing conversations, make an announcement or start a discussion, visit the Adaptation without Borders - Indirect Impacts of Climate Change discussion forum.

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Category:

Identifying Transboundary Climate Risks

In a world connected as never before, climate change risk assessments need to better account for our global interdependencies. This category brings together work relevant to understanding the complex nature of transboundary climate risks. Publications below provide insight into how transboundary climate risks manifest, how they are transmitted, and how they might be identified, assessed and tracked. 

 
A field of green-leafed plants with the sun shining through
Article

New risk horizons: Sweden’s exposure to climate risk via international trade

Learn about Sweden's place in the global trade system in this SEI report. The study applies innovative multi-method approaches to identify and assess transboundary climate risks facing Sweden via its international trade links.

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Aerial photo of green agriculture fields in Norway
Article

Nordic perspectives on transboundary climate risk

Explore the cross-border risks faced by Nordic countries, the extent to which they are already recognised, and possible ways to respond to them in this report. The analysis draws on a literature review, an analysis of trade data, and interviews with stakeholders from national authorities, industry and research institutions.

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A protocol for case-study research on transboundary climate risk.
Article

Rising to a New Challenge: A Protocol for Case-Study Research on Transboundary Climate Risk

This work aims to demonstrate why the transboundary nature of climate risk requires a distinct analytical approach and proposes a seven-step guide that aims to facilitate the exploration of transboundary climate risk through case-study-based research for adaptation.

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A local Nepalese woman carries home firewood in the afternoon outside of Braka, Manang, Nepal.
Article

Glacial lake outburst floods: A shared risk across the Hindu Kush Himalayas

In this case study, explore how glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) affect the countries in the Hindu Kush Himalayas.

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Two men building embankments by sea
Article

The transboundary implications of climate-related coastal migration: state of knowledge, factors of influence and policy pathways

This publication explores the transboundary implications of climate-related coastal migration and identifies the key policy pillars to facilitate adaptation and resilience in this context.

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A grain bin full of corn after the destruction of a derecho in 2020. Photo: Phil Roeder / Flickr.
Article

How corn links Jamaica’s food supply to climate change in the US Midwest

This case study explores how Jamaica’s deep dependency on US maize affects both its economy and food security in a changing climate.

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Cascades
Article

CASCADES’ Conceptual Framework of cascading climate impacts

This publication presents a conceptual framework and accompanying terminology developed by the CASCADES project to help describe and analyse cross-border climate impacts and inform adaptation policies.

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Flooded street in Venice
Article

Climate impact induced crisis in Europe: an exploration of scenarios

This report examines six scenarios of climate impacts that can trigger social, political, economic or financial crises in Europe in the next decade.

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Quantifying transnational climate impact exposure
Article

Quantifying transnational climate impact exposure: new perspectives on the global distribution of climate risk

This research develops a global index of exposure to transnational climate impacts.

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Haitian citizens crowding on a ship
News

Inescapably intertwined: the reality of globalisation and borderless climate risks

Climate adaptation efforts are unlikely to succeed if done in geographic isolation. The Transnational Climate Impacts Index examines country exposure to climate change from an international view.

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Shipping containers
Article

Introducing the Transnational Climate Impacts Index: Indicators of country-level exposure – methodology report

This paper introduces a new framework for examining climate change impacts and adaptation needs from an international perspective.

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The Adaptation without Borders Index of exposure
Article

The Adaptation without Borders Index of exposure to indirect impacts of climate change

Applying a new conceptual framework, SEI has developed the Adaptation without Borders Index of Exposure (or AwB Index, for short).

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Conceptual framework for assessing indirect impacts of climate change
Article

Conceptual framework for assessing indirect impacts of climate change

We here introduce a conceptual framework that can be used to identify these indirect impacts of climate change.

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Category:

Governing Transboundary Climate Risks

The global effects of climate change require solutions beyond the adaptation efforts of any single actor. Managing transboundary climate risks will require collaborative approaches that cross borders, where actors engage with one another to identify shared risks and potential opportunities. This category explores avenues to enhance regional and global adaptation efforts to better manage and address transboundary climate risks. 

Aerial view of green trees, a blue river and a grey winding road
Article

Assessing transboundary climate risks under the UNFCCC Global Stocktake

What are the scientific, technical, political and procedural barriers to including transboundary climate risks in the UNFCCC Global Stocktake? This brief seeks to redress the "transboundary gap" in the next Global Stocktake and emphasise the need for international cooperation for climate action.

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yellow cars lining up in a street of people
Article

Developing guidance on managing transboundary climate risks in adaptation and sectoral planning

Explore how we can move from prototype to fully operational (and widely deployed) guidance on mainstreaming TCARs within policy and practice in this concept note. It sets out several key considerations for developing credible and salient guidance on TCAR risk management in support of NAPs, regional adaptation planning and other climate policy planning processes.

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children sitting in a wooden boat waving with greenery in the background in Africa
Article

Policy mechanisms of the African Union and the Regional Economic Communities to manage transboundary climate risks

Take a deep dive into dive into African Union (AU) policies and programmes and those of four regional economic communities (RECs) in this report by the Adaptation Without Borders partnership. Learn about the political economy of transboundary climate risks and their management within existing continental and REC climate, economic, trade, infrastructure and people-centred policies and programmes. 

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satellite view of earth's surface covered in lights
Article

Entry points for integrating transboundary climate risks in the global goal on adaptation

Explore entry points for integrating transboundary climate risks in the global goal on adaptation framework in this Adaptation Without Borders discussion brief. The analysis considers a range of options, taking into account the stages of the adaptation cycle and themes to be covered by the framework.

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green water with green vegetation and settlements
Article

Transboundary Climate Risks and the National Adaptation Planning Process

Learn about how the National Adaptation Planning (NAP) process can play a role in addressing transboundary climate risks in this brief, targeting adaptation practitioners, policy-makers, and negotiators.

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Sunlight falling through trees over forest road
Article

A Roadmap for African Resilience

Explore proposed key actions towards realizing an ambition of the African Union Climate Change and Resilient Development Strategy and Action Plan (2022–2032) to “Enhance coordination between the Regional Economic Communities and Member States in addressing and managing transboundary and cascading climate risks” in this Adaptation Without Borders roadmap.

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A collapsed house in a river with trees in the background
Article

Enhancing cooperation to address cascading climate risks in the Hindu Kush Himalaya

Learn about the rationale for strengthening regional resilience to cascading climate risks in the HKH through this AWB discussion brief. It explores what a regional cooperation mechanism could consider and advance in policy and practice, proposing a set of potential areas for collaboration to move the discussions from the realm of ambition to action.

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aerial view of braided river on dry lands
Article

Policy brief: How can Africa manage the transboundary climate risks it faces?

Explore 5 significant transboundary climate risks in Africa that urgently need consideration for management: biophysical, financial, trade, people-centred and geopolitical. The authors draw on real examples from countries across Africa and provide practical recommendations to consider going forwards.

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A body of water with brown settlements and a green tree reflected
Article

An African perspective on transboundary and cascading climate risks

Learn about how transboundary and cascading climate risks could impact different African regions, with a focus on East Africa, West Africa and Southern Africa, in this Adaptation Without Borders discussion brief. Also explore the role of national and regional adaptation plans in managing these risks.

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Container ship separated by blue sea and pink sky
Article

Policy discussion brief: the role of businesses in climate adaptation

Discover key considerations and opportunities for business-led adaptation, and learn about the enabling role of governments, international agreements and the financial sector in this policy brief.

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SB58 participants networking at the conference in Bonn
News

Decoding buzzwords at SB58: what is transformational adaptation?

What does the term 'transformational adaptation' truly mean and how can it shape our future? Dive in as we decode this critical concept from the Bonn Climate Conference, SB58.

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An aerial view of a blue river meandering through green vegetation
Article

Multilateral adaptation finance for systemic resilience: addressing transboundary climate risk

Explore an analysis of adaptation projects funded by 3 major multilateral climate funds, and discover the extent to which such funding supports projects addressing climate risks in more than one country.

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Brazilian coffee beans in sacks for exporting
Article

Contesting legitimacy in global environmental governance - An exploration of transboundary climate risk management in the Brazilian-German coffee supply-chain

Explore the ways in which transboundary climate risks are being governed across a Brazilian-German coffee supply chain in this journal paper. Learn about the five distinct governance pathways identified, which are each underpinned by a distinct operationalization of legitimacy.

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wind turbines in the blue sea with a blue sky background
Article

Just transition for climate adaptation: A business brief

Learn about how businesses can adapt to minimize climate change risks and impacts in a just and equitable manner; and discover recommendations for ensuring just and resilient supply chains and business operations. 

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Magnus Benzie speaking at the AWB event at COP27
News

Shifting the Narrative on Adaptation at COP27

Read this short post about how SEI's Adaptation Without Borders partnership advanced the narrative that climate risk is a shared reality and adaptation must become a collective responsibility, at the "Adaptation COP" in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt.

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An aerial viewpoint of houses surrounded by brown floodwater.
Article

Questioning the scientific feasibility and policy relevance of assessing transboundary climate risks

Learn about the scientific feasibility and policy relevance of assessing transboundary climate risks through this short blog post. Discover important areas for future research to advance the incorporation of cascading climate risks and impacts into adaptation responses.

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A man carrying a rock towards the coast to build protective barriers
News

How the “Adaptation COP” serves to build systemic resilience will determine its success

Read this perspective on why the narrative of adaptation needs to shift from being a local 'issue' to a global effort, and discover why it should be a key discussion point at COP27.

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Swedish flag next to the EU flag
News

Four ways to step up environmental ambitions during Sweden’s EU presidency

Explore four specific propositions for the incoming Swedish government to consider as it develops Sweden’s priorities for the presidency in this opinion piece. These cover the energy crisis, green trade, transboundary climate impacts, and consumption-based emissions.

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An aerial photo of a dam
Article

Adaptation Without Borders: A brief to participants in COP27

Discover key messages and recommendations on transboundary climate risks, and the action required at global, regional and national levels in this policy brief.

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Rice fields, Vietnam
Article

Global Climate Services: A Typology of Global Decisions Influenced by Climate Risk

Discover a typology of decisions relying on global, i.e., non-local, climate risk information, and explore the current state-of-the-art in global climate services to address these decisions in this article.

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A maize farmer with his crop, which has been destroyed by parrots, whose migration patterns have changed and now coincide with the end of the maize season.
Article

Climate risks to trade and food security: implications for policy

This policy brief presents insights from a groundbreaking assessment of climate risks to international trade in six major commodities.

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Sahel Food Crisis 2012: Drawing water from a well in the community of Natriguel, Mauritania
Article

Transboundary climate and adaptation risks in Africa: Perceptions from 2021

This publication documents how African policy-makers and experts perceive climate change and adaptation risks that have the potential for multi-country to regional consequences.

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Panel
News

Adaptation Without Borders launches collaboration with DG CLIMA to scale up international action on cross-border climate risks

At COP26, the Adaptation Without Borders partnership launched a strategic collaboration with DG CLIMA to scale up international action on adaptation to manage the cross-border and cascading impacts of climate change. Watch a recording of the event. 

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Visual
Event

Launch of Adaptation Without Borders: A New Era in International Cooperation on Climate Change

09/11/2021 - 10:00 to 11:00

This high-level event will launch a collaboration between the European Commission and Adaptation Without Borders, shine a spotlight on the implications of cross-border and cascading risks for climate diplomacy, and make the case for a new era of adaptation defined by global cooperation.

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Category:

Impacts of Transboundary Climate Risks

Left unchecked, transboundary climate risks could impede progress towards virtually every one of the Sustainable Development Goals – increasing food and water insecurity, threatening trade and energy supplies, risking jobs and livelihoods, spurring social unrest and endangering our collective wellbeing. This category provides insights on their impacts for people, ecosystems and economies – with a particular focus on trade, business and food security.

A grey and dark blue globe with green icons connected with lines
Article

The Global Transboundary Climate Risk Report

Discover new evidence on ten transboundary climate risks of global importance that affect critical sectors and regions: from water resources in high mountain environments, to fish stocks in the open ocean, industrial supply chains, and energy and global finance systems, as well as human health, livelihoods, mobility patterns, and physical and mental well-being.

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a woman and man exchanging money at a food market stand
Article

Impacts of climate change on global food trade networks

Learn about the potential cross-border impacts of climate change on global food trade, through the lens of three crops: wheat, rice and maize. Using a simple network model, this journal article projects changes to trade communities and network structures, as well as the effects that this will have on global food security.

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Pastoralism has become challenging in countries in the Sahel region such as Burkina Faso
Article

Pastoralism, farming and a changing climate in the Sahel region

This case study sheds light on the adverse impacts of climate change for pastoral livelihoods in the Sahel region, and the need for regional coordination to build resilience in the region.

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Containers
Article

Climate change, trade, and global food security

This report provides a first systematic, quantitative assessment of transboundary climate risks to trade in major agricultural commodities – maize, rice, wheat, soy, sugar cane, and coffee.

 
 
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Man in blue t-shirt planting rice
Article

Cross-border climate vulnerabilities of the European Union to drought

This study examines the cross-border climate vulnerability of the EU by focusing on the impact of increasing drought in production locations on EU agricultural imports.

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Wheat harvest in the Texas Panhandle
Article

The Geopolitics of Food Security: Barriers to the Sustainable Development Goal of Zero Hunger

This paper seeks to give geopolitics a more prominent place in the food security debate, outlining its impact across a range of areas that directly affect food security.

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EU-Mercosur meeting
News

The EU-Mercosur trade agreement: can a trade treaty be greened?

This blog post analyzes the conditions for a "greening" of the EU-Mercosur trade agreement compatible with both the legitimate expectations of civil society and the reality of trade negotiations.

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Businessmen in Japan
Article

Globalization of local risks through international investments and businesses: A case for risk communication and climate fragility reduction

This publication explores the globalization of local risks through international investments in Asia and present a climate fragility risk index to assess a country’s suitability for investing.

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 Freighters anchored at Dar es Salaam harbour in Tanzania.
News

Enhancing resilience within global value chains: the implications of COVID-19 for climate change adaptation and mitigation policies

This blog discusses the implications of the COVID-19 crisis in relation to trade within global value chains (GVCs) given the looming climate change crisis.

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Adaptation Without Borders policy brief
Article

Climate-resilient trade and production: the transboundary effects of climate change and their implications for EU member states

This brief provides an overview of the state of knowledge on transboundary climate risks in Europe, and explores how this knowledge could help Member States, businesses and the EU as a whole to advance climate-resilient trade and production.

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Container ships dock at the Euromax Terminal in the Port of Rotterdam. Photo: Frans Berkelaar
Event

Climate-Resilient Trade and Production

09/07/2020 - 08:30 to 11:00

This invite-only online seminar explores how European member states, European businesses and the EU as a whole can usher in a new era of climate-resilient systems.

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soybeans are loaded onto a truck
Article

International spillovers in SDG implementation: the case of soy from Argentina

The vast majority of Argentinian soy production serves foreign consumption, but has social, economic and environmental impacts in the producer country.

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Uploading freshly harvested oil palm fruit bunches. Photo: migin / Getty.
Article

Transparency and sustainability in global commodity supply chains

This research assesses the types of supply chain information that are needed to support improvements in sustainability governance.

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Climate change and mining
Article

Climate Change and Mining: A Foreign Policy Perspective

The growing number of extreme weather events has led to increasing awareness in the extractives industries of the negative impacts of climate change. This report looks into the links between both.

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Map of Corporate Adaptation Projects and Opportunities
Article

The Business Case for Responsible Corporate Adaptation: Strengthening Private Sector and Community Resilience

This report presents a diverse set of global corporate adaptation projects to raise awareness, inspire action and highlight opportunities to further responsible corporate adaptation.

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Millet processing
Article

Reducing vulnerability to food price shocks in a changing climate

This brief explores the impacts of food price shocks in a changing climate.

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Screenshot - movie
Article

Senegal Films – Adaptation without Borders

On this page four short films explore these issues in relation to rice production, consumption and global trade.

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Senegalese woman
Article

Djeneba's story

Families in Senegal typically spend around 30% oftheir monthly income on food, so even small changes in the price of rice impact the monthly food intake of families in Senegal.

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Latest Discussions

Meadow Poplawsky

COP27 Event: Funding adaptation efforts to address cascading climate risks in the Hindu Kush Himalaya and other mountain regions

“Wednesday, 9 November, 2022 - 14:30 to 15:45 (Africa/Cairo) Mountain regions, including those of the Hindu Kush...”

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Robin Hocquet

Webinar: Transboundary climate risk and adaptation (29th April)

“Adaptation Without Borders (AWB), The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) and the World Adaptation Science Programme...”

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Robin Hocquet

Survey of Effectiveness of Capacity Building Activities on Climate Change Adaptation

“The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES) is a research institute that conducts pragmatic and innovative...”

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Christina Daszkiewicz

High-level online dialogue: Managing cascading climate risk in global supply chains (10 November 2020 - 11AM CET)

“Building a climate-resilient and just future for all: managing cascading climate risk in global supply chains How can...”

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